Opinion
"Butt on the ice" or about the forecasts of the Russian economy
The situation is so critical that it is impossible to predict inflation and GDP in Russia for 2026 - there is no certainty that Russia will exist at all
Vitaly Shapran
economist, financial analyst
The noise of the media and some officials who rush to quote the FT, The Economist, WSJ and Reuters, who noticed in April-May that the Russian economy was in trouble, is very annoying. I predicted in early December 2024 that the Kremlin has six months before financial difficulties begin.
I was wrong by 1-1.5 months, the crisis signs started earlier:
- Growing budget deficit;
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