To begin with, the strike took place "on June 22, at four in the morning." Whether the Americans put any symbolic meaning into the date is difficult to say. But we can say for sure that the Kremlin will perceive this as a "thin hint of thick circumstances.".

See also
US bombs Iran's nuclear facilities: Bully must make peace

Before we try to analyze possible scenarios, we should note that the ayatollahs' regime has now entered a self-preservation mode, where the only goal is to preserve the regime. And all further actions will be determined exclusively in the following way: it will help or not help to preserve the regime.

Iran has few options: either to imitate the response (we have seen this repeatedly over the past few years) or to play the trump card and start blocking traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Based on paragraph 2, the first option is more likely.

Subscribe to LIGA PRO to read this article. Go to the full version of the page.
Articles published in the "Opinions" section reflect the point of view of the author and may not reflect the position of the LIGA.net editors