trump's "accelerated" ultimatum. What to expect

You don't need to be a great analyst to understand that the US-EU agreement was the catalyst for the 10-12 days statement. But, again, this is only a catalyst for certain processes (it seems that Trump had allocated the same 50 days for the agreement with the EU, and the fact that the agreement has already been signed accelerates other processes).

We can only guess what is in the underwater part of this iceberg. But let's try to put forward not even versions, but hypotheses about Trump's further actions.

I do not believe in any drastic actions by Trump to escalate the situation with shipping in the Baltic Sea. The likelihood that Russian tankers will be detained en masse in August is negligible. Similarly, no one will pass the Graham Act tomorrow.