Russia is demonstrating that it is rushing into a new conflict in the post-Soviet space – with Azerbaijan. After a full-scale war against Ukraine, Moscow's influence in the region has weakened so much that even former allies are acting independently. And they are no longer allies. And Azerbaijan has long since left the Kremlin's orbit.

Russia has no economic leverage over Baku – a ban on imports of fruits and vegetables will hit the Russian market itself, and there are simply no military resources to threaten.

In addition, Ilham Aliyev has a partner in the form of Turkey behind him.

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