Key trends that have already manifested themselves in Russia's war against Ukraine and in the Middle East, which will determine global security in the coming decades.

First, a new "axis" of cooperation is emerging: China, Russia, Iran and North Korea are deepening their bilateral relations. Some players in the Global South are also getting involved.

This is not a classic military bloc, there is not enough coordination. And Russia is seen by China as a raw material appendage. But everything will depend on the level of arms production and joint exercises. In any case, Russia's war against Ukraine could end if China stops Russia. Conversely, the West lacks quick tools to stop Russia without China.

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